Archive for April, 2010



Retailers Continue Post-Easter Momentum

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After robust sales gains for the month of March and especially during the week leading up to Easter, the post-holiday falloff wasn’t as severe as expected. Retailers continued their positive momentum as warm weather drove strong demand for spring merchandise last week, and consumers are becoming less cautious with their discretionary spending.

ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly US Chain Store SalesThe International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% from the prior week, the fourth consecutive gain, while sales gained a strong 4.0% from the year-ago period.

As expected, there was somewhat of a drop-off during the post-Easter week compared to last week’s 4.7% YoY increase, but lingering warm weather helped to keep apparel sales relatively strong even as customer traffic at discount stores moderated.

“Sales were impacted by the usual post-Easter seasonal weakness, but adjusted for that, sales edged up for the fourth consecutive gain and were helped by seasonally warm weather that continued to drive spring-merchandise demand,” said Michael Niemira, ICSC’s chief economist. Continue reading ‘Retailers Continue Post-Easter Momentum’

Friday Retail Reading List

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In case you missed it, here are some interesting reads that caught our eye this week:

  • Wal-Mart is cutting prices on thousands of products in an aggressive campaign to reinforce its reputation as a discount leader, as the company seeks to reverse months of slowing U.S. sales (WSJ)
  • Watch an interactive growth map of Walmart and Sam’s Club across America 1962 – 2010 (Flowing Data)
  • Vacancies at the largest U.S. retail centers rose to the highest level in at least a decade as unemployment and “inconsistent” consumer spending reduced demand from tenants (Bloomberg)
  • The Fastest-Growing Retailers: These 10 companies have found ways to post strong growth amid the worst of the downturn (Forbes)
  • The average supermarket shopper isn’t sold on the recovery yet: Most they’re sticking with their commitment to buying private-label products as a way to lower grocery bills (MediaPost)
  • 68% of consumers with Facebook accounts say a positive referral from a Facebook friend would make them more likely to buy from or visit a retailer (Internet Retailer)
  • Retailers jump on the social media bandwagon: about 70 percent of retailers are on Facebook or MySpace, and more than half are on Twitter (Seattle Times)

March Same-Store Sales Surge: Gain Most Since 1999

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Retailers are partying like it’s 1999 as a combination of an early Easter and warmer weather across much of the country, pent-up discretionary demand from consumers, and extremely easy comparisons to the year-ago period helped companies post their best same-store sales gains in more than a decade in March.

Preliminary results show total sales increased 11.4% from a year ago to $36.5 billion for the 30 retailers we track, while same-store sales surged 9.2% compared to a 4.7% drop last March. This is the seventh straight gain after 12 consecutive months of declines, and the best showing since March 1999.

RetailSails Monthly Store Sales Index

Performance was strong across the board, as 27 out of 30 retailers posted comparable sales gains for the month, with 16 posting double-digit increases. That compares to last March when 22 retailers posted decreases, with 10 of them posting double-digit declines. Continue reading ‘March Same-Store Sales Surge: Gain Most Since 1999′

A Tale of 2 Teen Retailers

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Tomorrow morning a bunch of major retailers are scheduled to report March sales results, and projections call for extremely strong same-store sales gains across the spectrum. The early Easter holiday, extremely weak comps from a year ago, and much warmer weather across much of the country are expected to push comps up to their best levels in years – ICSC expects a gain of 8-10%, with Thomson Reuters predicting a 6.3% composite increase.

This afternoon, two teen mall-based retailers reported results. The divergence in their performance is quite striking, and shows some retailers have yet to benefit from much improved consumer discretionary spending:

  • Zumiez reported an increase of 20.1% in net sales and a 13.2% gain in same-store sales in March, compared to a 17.9% decline a year ago. This is the fourth straight comparable sales gain after 15 consecutive months of negative same-store sales, and was the strongest growth since the fall of 2007. Men’s, Accessories, Footwear and Boys were the strongest categories for the month, while sales were strong across all geographical regions.

Zumiez - Monthly Sales Growth Continue reading ‘A Tale of 2 Teen Retailers’

Wednesday Retail News & Notes

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Posting has been light of late, as we have been busy pouring over year-end retail reports and updating financial data for all the companies we cover. We have recently added several retailers to our coverage universe, including:

Chico’s
Family Dollar
Urban Outfitters

Over the next month or so, we will be continuing to add more companies to our coverage so let us know if there are any retailers you are interested in. We will also be releasing several reports summarizing 2009 results and discussing topics including: the fastest growing retailers during the recession, the continued growth of private and exclusive brands, and analyzing retail store and square footage growth trends, so stay tuned.

Tomorrow, 30 major retailers will be releasing monthly sales results for March, and as always we will provide a summary report as the data becomes available. Analysts are expecting some blowout results, with The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) projecting comp store sales growth of 8-10% over last year and Thomson Reuters expecting a same-store sales increase of 6.3%, compared to a 5% drop in the year-ago period.

Some of the strength is no doubt due to Easter falling a week earlier than last year, much improved weather across the country, and truly awful comps from a year ago. However, consumers seem to be releasing pent-up demand and are becoming increasingly more confident with their spending as the economy continues to show signs of improvement.

Just look at the report from Mastercard’s SpendingPulse data released this morning – the company said sales of luxury items rose 22.7% in March (vs. a 19.2% drop last year), while online sales jumped 18.4% on top of a 10.8% increase a year ago. The apparel sector saw a 5.2% gain compared to a 12.9% plunge in 2009.

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