Archive for January, 2010

Retail Reading List for Week Ending 1/29/10

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Retail Quick View: Walmart Ups the Fashion Ante

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RetailSails has learned today that Lisa Rhodes, former Chief Merchandising Officer from Duluth based Maurices, is moving back to New York to become Senior V.P. of Apparel for Walmart in their New York office.

Walmart currently generates about 11% of their U.S. business from apparel, but has never really gained traction in the fashion apparel business. Rhodes is a well respected merchant with a strong background in middle of the road, well priced, wearable fashion, with strong contacts both with domestic vendors and Asian manufacturers. Her credentials, accomplishments and expertise are clearly much more impressive than any previous people that Walmart has chosen to fill this large void in apparel.

We believe that Rhodes would not make this move without being given sufficient and specific power over decision making, and further that this can be a game changer for the retailer with a huge potential impact on revenue.

Super Bowl 2010 Outlook: More Viewers, Less Spending

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As the annual event turned national holiday known as the Super Bowl approaches, retailers and marketers are gearing up to fight for consumers’ dollars. The game is not only perennially the most-watched television event of the year and a gold mine for advertisers, but also a bonanza for food, electronics, and apparel retailers as consumers typically spend as much during Super Bowl weekend as they they do for Father’s Day. However, consumers are not surprisingly planning on cutting back their discretionary spending this year, and marketers will attempt to strike the right chord with shoppers still extremely worried about their personal finances.

According to the Retail Advertising and Marketing Association’s (RAMA) 2010 Super Bowl survey, conducted by BIGresearch, the average consumer will be cutting back their spending from $57.27 to $52.63 this year, while total spending on game-related merchandise, apparel and snacks is expected to decrease to $8.868 Billion from $9.563 a year ago. On a more positive note, electronics retailers can expect a brisk business, as at least 3.6 million Americans plan on purchasing a new television for the big game, up from 2.6 million in 2009.

“With slight improvements in the economy boosting consumer’s confidence, many people are looking at flat screen televisions as a way to splurge on something they’ve had their eye on for a while,” said Mike Gatti, Executive Director, RAMA. “Retailers have restocked their shelves and are already offering low prices on popular TV brands for those who have their heart set on watching the game in better quality this year.”

Continue reading ‘Super Bowl 2010 Outlook: More Viewers, Less Spending’

Rite Aid Still Struggling to Find a Cure

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Retail drug store chain Rite Aid is still struggling with integration issues from its acquisition of Brooks Eckerd Drug Stores, as it continues to close under-performing locations and find the right merchandise mix to compete with larger rivals Walgreens and CVS Caremark.

The company said that same-store sales fell 2.1% in January for the 8th consecutive monthly decline, while total sales fell 3.3% to $1.913 Billion from the year-ago period. For the fiscal year-to-date, total sales are down 2.1% and same-store sales have decreased 0.6%. Rite Aid has reported 10 consecutive quarterly losses totaling over $4.3 Billion since the ill-timed acquisition, and the retailer is hoping a change in leadership will help reverse its fortunes. Current COO John T. Standley will replace CEO Mary Sammons, who has led the company since 2003, effective June 24th.

Rite Aid - Monthly Sales Growth Continue reading ‘Rite Aid Still Struggling to Find a Cure’

Retail Outlook 2010: Notable & Quotable

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Last week, we wrote that modest gains were expected for retail sales in 2010 based on projections from a couple of research firms. Since then, several analysts have weighed in with their own forecasts of what to expect. The consensus is that there will be notable improvement from what can only be characterized as a dismal 2009, but performance will still lag pre-recession averages and be heavily dependent on real improvements in employment and housing markets, and consumers’ personal finances:

Retail Forward: forecasts retail sales excluding auto and gas will increase 1.5% to 2.0% in the first two quarters of the year and step up to 3.0% to 4.0% growth in the second half of the year as job and income growth start to re-emerge.

“The first clear sign that retail sales are on the path to recovery came during the holiday,” Frank Badillo, Senior Economist for Retail Forward, a Kantar Retail Company. “Keeping retail sales on this recovery path will require—more than anything—a return of job and income growth. Renewed job and income growth will ultimately outweigh other drags on the recovery, such as tighter credit availability and new credit regulation.

In addition, looming large in 2010 will be rising inflation pressures—starting with fuel prices—that ultimately lead to higher interest rates. This will present a challenge for the housing and homegoods markets, which will continue to lag in a retail sales recovery led by other retail segments.

Continue reading ‘Retail Outlook 2010: Notable & Quotable’

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