Weekly Retail Sales: March Starts Off Strong

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Retail sales were relatively strong this past week, as dry weather and warming temperatures across much of the country spurred markedly higher customer traffic compared to a year ago. The first week of March is notoriously light on volume and retailers continue to benefit from easy year-over-year comparisons, but nonetheless results show that the positive momentum we have seen since September continues.

ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly US Chain Store Sales

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales saw the strongest gains in years for the first week of March, as sales increased 2.9% from the prior week (best since Dec 2001) and gained 3.4% over the prior-year period, which was the best year-over-year showing since July 2007. “To paraphrase the old saw, March sales started off like a lion as better weather got consumers motivated about spring-related merchandise,” said Michael Niemira, ICSC’s chief economist.

The company said Weather Trends International (WTI) reported that the week was the 2nd driest to start a March in 18 years. WTI observed that, “The northern third of the country actually had the most improved conditions with much warmer and drier weather while the South actually had a continuation of cool conditions. The weekend was the warmest part of the week which was a plus for early Spring merchandise sales.” Continue reading ‘Weekly Retail Sales: March Starts Off Strong’

Incredible Winning Streak Continues for McDonald’s

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Even as business in the U.S. has stagnated over the past few months as consumers continue to struggle with unemployment and personal finances, strong international growth has driven McDonald’s to report an incredible 82 consecutive months of same-store sales gains.

McDonald’s reported an increase of 11.2% in system-wide sales for February, while comparable sales were up 4.8% vs the year-ago period. Excluding the effects of currency translation, total system-wide sales increased 6.4% during the month.

McDonald's - Monthly Sales Growth Continue reading ‘Incredible Winning Streak Continues for McDonald’s’

Retailers Hoping for the Luck o’ the Irish on St. Patrick’s Day

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While not traditionally viewed as a big spending holiday, retailers will nonetheless have an opportunity to grab a piece of the nearly $3.5 billion consumers are expected to spend on decorations, party favors, and green attire this St. Patrick’s Day.

Based on the National Retail Federation’s (NRF) annual St. Patrick’s Day survey, the average consumer will spend $33.05 this year on St. Patrick’s Day merchandise, up slightly from $32.80 in 2009. Overall spending is expected to rise for the first time since 2007 by about 5% to $3.44 billion, driven by young adults looking to attend private parties or celebrate at bars and restaurants.

“With many people still worried about the economy, St. Patrick’s Day is a great opportunity for consumers to have a little fun,” said Tracy Mullin, President and CEO, NRF. “Retailers as well as restaurants should see an increase in traffic this year as people begin to shake off their winter blues and celebrate this traditionally festive holiday with friends and family.”

Average Spend per Consumer Total Spend (millions)
2010 $ 33.05 $ 3,440
2009 $ 32.80 $ 3,290
2008 $ 35.04 $ 3,640
2007 $ 34.89 $ 3,760
2006 $ 27.94 $ 2,690
2005 $ 22.95 $ 1,940

source: National Retail Federation’s St. Patrick’s Day Consumer Intentions and Actions Survey, conducted for the NRF by BIGresearch

Continue reading ‘Retailers Hoping for the Luck o’ the Irish on St. Patrick’s Day’

Comparative Analysis: February Same-Store Sales

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This morning, we reported that consolidated same-store sales for the 30 retailers we track rose 3.9% in February, compared to a 3.4% decline in the year-ago period.

For comparative purposes, below are the results and trends of several other firms which track monthly sales. In addition, we have compiled quotes and commentary from several firms and analysts. There is no doubt February represented a strong month in the face of tough weather conditions, and the trend is certainly positive. However, January and February are notoriously light months and results are up against awful numbers from a year ago – retailers will need to sustain the momentum through back-to-school season to convince us the recovery is for real:

Same-Store Sales Chg (YoY)
Feb-10 Jan-10 Dec-09 Feb-09 Jan-09 Dec-08
RetailSails 3.9% 3.2% 3.0% -3.4% -4.3% -3.8%
Retail Forward 3.9% 3.3% 3.0% -4.1% -4.4% -4.1%
Retail Metrics 4.1% 3.3% 3.0% -4.1% -5.6% -3.5%
Thomson Reuters 4.0% 3.3% 2.9% -4.7% -5.6% -4.0%
ICSC Research 3.7% 3.0% 3.6% -4.3% -4.8% -4.6%
Redbook Research 3.7% 3.0% 2.7% -0.2% -1.8% -1.9%


Continue reading ‘Comparative Analysis: February Same-Store Sales’

February Same-Store Sales Strongest in More than 2 Years

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Despite unseasonably cold temperatures nation-wide and record snowstorms across the Northeast, retailers managed to post another month of solid same-store sales gains in February. While typically one of the lightest months of the year in terms of volume, and no doubt in large part due to extremely easy comparisons to a year ago, February’s strong performance nonetheless suggests consumer spending is gaining momentum off of depressed levels.

Preliminary results show total sales increased 6.0% from a year ago to $28.9 billion for the 30 retailers we track, while same-store sales were up 3.9% compared to a 3.4% drop in the year-ago period. This is the sixth straight gain after 12 consecutive months of declines, and the best showing since November 2007.

RetailSails Monthly Store Sales Index Continue reading ‘February Same-Store Sales Strongest in More than 2 Years’

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